A veteran of South Korean Headquarters of Intelligence Detachment (HID), in a North Korean military uniform, shouts a slogan with his former comrades during a rally against South Korean government giving support to pro-North Korean groups in South Korea near the City Hall in Seoul, South Korea, Friday, Jan. 25, 2013. South Korea's President Park Geun-hye is strongly urging North Korea to refrain from conducting a nuclear test that could only worsen the tensions on the Korean Peninsula in the wake of a provocative long-range rocket launch in December, envoy Rhee In-je told The Associated Press and selected news outlets in Davos, Switzerland. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)
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A veteran of South Korean Headquarters of Intelligence Detachment (HID), in a North Korean military uniform, shouts a slogan with his former comrades during a rally against South Korean government giving support to pro-North Korean groups in South Korea near the City Hall in Seoul, South Korea, Friday, Jan. 25, 2013. South Korea's President Park Geun-hye is strongly urging North Korea to refrain from conducting a nuclear test that could only worsen the tensions on the Korean Peninsula in the wake of a provocative long-range rocket launch in December, envoy Rhee In-je told The Associated Press and selected news outlets in Davos, Switzerland. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)
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South Korean police officers walk by models of North Korea's Scud-B missile, center left, and other South Korean missiles on display at Korea War Memorial Museum in Seoul, South Korea. Friday, Jan. 25, 2013. South Korea's President Park Geun-hye is strongly urging North Korea to refrain from conducting a nuclear test that could only worsen the tensions on the Korean Peninsula in the wake of a provocative long-range rocket launch in December, envoy Rhee In-je told The Associated Press and selected news outlets in Davos, Switzerland. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)
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British Ambassador to the United Nations Mark Lyall Grant, left, and American Ambassador Susan Rice vote on a Security Council resolution condemning North Korea's rocket launch in December that sent a satellite into orbit, Tuesday, Jan. 22, 2013 at United Nations headquarters. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
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FILE - In this Dec. 12, 2012 file photo released by Korean Central News Agency, North Korea's Unha-3 rocket lifts off from the Sohae launch pad in Tongchang-ri, North Korea. The U.N. Security Council on Tuesday, Jan. 22, 2013 unanimously approved a resolution condemning North Korea's rocket launch in December and imposing new sanctions on Pyongyang's space agency. (AP Photo/KCNA, File)
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South Korean Ambassador Kim Sook, left, speaks to Chinese Ambassador Li Baodong, center and Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin during a Security Council meeting on the situation in North Korea Tuesday, Jan. 22, 2013 at United Nations headquarters. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
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The Security Council votes on a resolution condemning North Korea's rocket launch in December that sent a satellite into orbit, Tuesday, Jan. 22, 2013 at United Nations headquarters. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
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French Ambassador to the United Nations Gerard Araud, center, speaks to Chinese Ambassador Li Baodong, left, after a Security Council vote on a resolution condemning North Korea's rocket launch in December that sent a satellite into orbit, Tuesday, Jan. 22, 2013 at United Nations headquarters. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
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This Sept. 17, 2012 satellite image provided by DigitalGlobe and annotated by the U.S.-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, 38 North, shows a facility in Sohae, North Korea where analysts believe rocket engines have been tested in a sign North Korea continues to develop its long-range ballistic missiles. The analysis provided to The Associated Press is based on satellite images taken as recently as late September of the Sohae site on the secretive country's northwest coast. In April, the North conducted a failed attempt to launch a rocket from there carrying a satellite into space in defiance of a U.N. ban. The website of the U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS said Monday Nov. 12, 2012 that it remains unclear whether the North is preparing a rocket launch but predicted it may embark on new rocket and nuclear tests in the first half of 2013. (AP Photo/DigitalGlobe/ U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS)
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This April 9, 2012 satellite image provided by DigitalGlobe and annotated by the U.S.-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, 38 North, shows a facility in Sohae, North Korea where analysts believe rocket engines have been tested in a sign North Korea continues to develop its long-range ballistic missiles, The analysis provided to The Associated Press is based on satellite images taken as recently as late September of the Sohae site on the secretive country's northwest coast. In April, the North conducted a failed attempt to launch a rocket from there carrying a satellite into space in defiance of a U.N. ban. The website of the U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS said Monday Nov. 12, 2012 that it remains unclear whether the North is preparing a rocket launch but predicted it may embark on new rocket and nuclear tests in the first half of 2013. (AP Photo/DigitalGlobe/ U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS)
US institute: All quiet at NKorea test sites
WASHINGTON (
AP) — Recent satellite imagery shows no sign that
North Korea is readying another long-range rocket launch within the next month or another nuclear test, a U.S.
research institute said Tuesday.
North Korea has said it would conduct more rocket launches and has also hinted at a follow-up to its Feb. 12 atomic test.
In recent days, the North has threatened a nuclear strike on the U.S. and said it was scuttling the cease-fire on the Korean Peninsula. James Clapper, the director of U.S. intelligence, said Tuesday the North posed a serious threat to the U.S. and East Asia and that it could attack South Korea.
But at least at the North's two rocket test facilities, things appear quiet.
Very little is going on at the Sohae site on the west coast from where a satellite was launched in December, according to an analysis written for 38 North, the website of the U.S.-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. There has been recent activity at the older Tonghae launch site on its northeast coast, although it's unclear to what end.
Joel Wit, the 38 North editor and a former State Department official, said that as of end February, aerial photos also showed no indications of another nuclear test — although preparations for such an underground blast are more tricky to detect.
"While inter-Korean rhetoric is heating up," Wit said, "Pyongyang is unlikely to do anything provocative in the near-term" at least in terms of testing its weapons of mass destruction.
North Korea already has missiles that could hit South Korea and Japan but is still believed to be a ways from deploying a missile that could be wedded to a nuclear warhead and target the U.S.
It appears to be progressing toward that goal, however, and Clapper told the Senate Intelligence Committee that North Korea has also taken initial steps toward fielding what appears to be a road-mobile intercontinental ballistic missile. He said it hasn't yet tested the missile, the KN-08, which was displayed at a military parade last April. At the time, some experts questioned whether it was just a mock-up.
North Korea's next steps are being closed watched. Tensions have ratcheted up after the U.N. Security Council tightened sanctions last week, raising the prospect the North could conduct another weapons' test or lash out against rival South Korea.
South Korean Defense Ministry spokesman Kim Min-seok told reporters Tuesday there were no signs that North Korea could conduct additional nuclear and missile tests anytime soon, or launch some other provocation.
Past experience suggests North could take its time to react. It faced international condemnation for rocket and nuclear tests in 2009, and 10 months later was implicated in the sinking of a South Korean navy ship that killed 46 seamen.
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Associated Press writer Hyung-jin Kim in Seoul contributed to this report.
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